【新唐人2013年09月14日讯】在中国钱荒惊魂未定，外资撤离风起云涌，全球一片中国经济〝硬着陆〞声浪的大背景下，中共国务院总理李克强在出席〝2013夏季达沃斯论坛〞时表示，〝中国经济发展的奇迹已经进入第二季〞，中共海内外喉舌竞相报导李克强的谈话。不过，李克强前几天悲壮的说过，中共当局会用〝壮士断腕的决心〞推进改革。评论质疑，既然中国经济出现奇迹，李克强何必壮士断腕？外界认为，这种完全和现实背离的论调，已经无法挽回已经撤离的外企，也无法提供中共执政的合法性。
9月12号，中共喉舌《新华社》、《环球时报》、《央视国际》等大小媒体，同时刊出〝中国经济发展的奇迹已经进入第二季〞的相关文章。文章中说，一段时间以来，国际上对中国经济有不少议论，担心会不会出现一些国家曾遇到的〝增长过早放缓〞，甚至出现〝硬着陆〞。
李克强在〝达沃斯论坛〞上说，选择中国，是跨国企业兴旺发达的明智之举。他表示，会用壮士断腕的决心推进改革，做到言必行，行必果。
美国南卡罗莱纳大学艾肯商学院教授谢田：〝现在讲这个话确实让人感觉非常的荒唐，你如果一切都好好的干嘛要断腕，我们所有的人都知道中国经济陷入困境，外资已经疯狂地撤出中国，由房地产和基础建设支撑的经济，现在根本就难以为继。〞
美国南卡罗莱纳大学艾肯商学院教授谢田认为，首先应该澄清的是，中国前面所谓的经济奇迹，实际上是灾难。谢田说，在低效率的、浪费性的、以牺牲环境为代价带来的虚假GDP，已经给中国带来了巨大的伤害，同时权贵们从中窃取大量财富后，给中国社会带来的难以解决的社会乱象，正在毁灭中国的道德底线。
纽约城市大学政治学教授夏明：〝中共政府是想给大家鼓气，不要让国内的老百姓产生恐慌，因为恐慌往往会成为经济危机大爆发的一个根源，所以当中国经济在逐渐放缓的时候，它不愿意说它的经济在放慢，它只是说它在换档期，是为了新的一轮的发展在进行调试。〞
纽约城市大学政治学教授夏明指出，前30年，中国人民的生活虽然得到了改善，但经济成果实际上最后落入了中共领导集团的私人腰包中。
夏明：〝中共政府现在面临着很大的一个危机和挑战，其中很大的危机和挑战是什么呢？它过去是想用它的经济成长业绩，来为它的政权合法性提供一种论证，但是现在经济一方面在放缓，第二方面，中国的贫富差距拉大了。〞
美国《华尔街日报》评论说，当年全球金融危机时，中国（中共）政府大量放贷，使中国的经济很快得到缓解，建立了大量的酒店、楼房、铁路和桥梁，使得中国实现了经济增长。现在5年过去了，美国和欧洲的经济已经在复苏，而中国以及亚洲经济却前途暗淡，如果投资者当时选择投资欧美，会收益丰厚。
最近在北京召开的第十二届全国人大常委会第四次会议上，当局承认，中国经济面临四大泡沫----产能过剩泡沫、房地产泡沫、政府债务泡沫、金融泡沫。
人大财经委副主任尹中卿警告，不能轻易戳穿泡沫，只能千方百计挤压泡沫。
另外，由28.78平方公里的试验田组成的〝上海自由贸易区〞，将在9月29号提前挂牌，
谢田认为，上海自由贸易区，除了给新任领导人留下业绩外，新闻效应大于实际效应，但是其中的人民币自由兑换、资金自由流通，却可能为贪官们转移资金大放绿灯。
谢田：〝如果在上海实行人民币可以（自由）兑换的话，我们可以想像，会存在汇率的双轨制，会使得一些中共官员有极大的寻租、贪污和腐败的机会，如果这个兑换溢到自贸区之外的话，可能会引发房地产泡沫的破灭。〞
北京观察人士华颇指出，中国的经济非常糟糕，既得利益集团的癌细胞已经扩散到整个体制的全身，李克强断腕也无济于事。
采访编辑/刘惠 后制/李智远
Communist Media Praised Its Economic Miracle
In China, money shortage hasn't been settled,
foreign companies shut down one after another,
speculation of China's economy hard landing
spread over the world widely.
Premier Li Keqiang said during the 2013 Summer Davos Forum,
that China has entered a second season of its miracle.
The Chinese Communist Party's (CCP) media
at home and abroad published Li's remarks.
However, Li Keqiang said solemnly in
that China will continue economic reform with great
determination, needs to "cut loss quickly".
Commentators speculated that if China economy
is super good, does it need to cut loss quickly?
Outsiders believe that Li's remarks
completely deviate from reality,
however, it can't stop foreign companies from leaving China
neither can Chinese regime be qualified as being legitimate.
On 12th Sept., Xinhua news, Global Times and
China's Central TV published the same article at
the same time about "China's Economy Miracle Development
Entered Second Season".
The article said that for some time now, there have been
many comments on the Chinese economy,
they wondered whether it may slow down too early, like
in some other countries, or even encounter a hard landing.
Li Keqiang said in the Davos Forum that to come and do
business in China is a wise decision
for multinationals to grow their business.
China will continue its reform with determination of
cutting loss quickly.
China will stand by its words and will be resolute in action.
Xie Tian, Professor at the University of South Carolina
Aiken Business School: At this moment in time,
to speak such words is ridiculous.
If everything went well, would you need to cut loss quickly?
We all know that the Chinese economy has run into trouble,
some foreign companies ceased trading in China.
Supporting the economy by real estate and infrastructure
now is unsustainable.
Xie Tian says, the first thing to clarify is that the previous
economic miracle actually is a series of disasters.
Inefficiency and wastefulness by sacrificing the environment
to achieve fake a GDP, had brought the country tremendous damage.
On the one hand privileged groups seized great wealth from it.
This has resulted in an irresolvable chaotic society,
and is destroying China's bottom line of morality.
Xia Ming, professor in politics of City University
of New York: the Chinese regime wants
to give the public confidence.
They don't want people to panic.
People panic can turn into the fundamental reason
of an economic crisis.
Thus, when the Chinese economy slows down, the CCP is
unwilling to say so, instead saying it is in a transformation
period, just testing for new development.
Xia Ming says that, 30 years ago, Chinese people's lives had
improved, but economic gains fell into leadership's pockets.
Xia Ming: the Chinese regime is facing a great crisis
and challenges.
What is it?
In the past, the CCP always wanted economic growth
in order to support its legitimacy.
However, on the contrary, now the economy is slowing down,
and the gap between the rich and poor has widened.
Wall Street Journal said that during the early global
financial crisis, the Chinese regime directed its state-owned
banks to open up their credit,
its economy was quickly back to growth.
In addition numbers of hotels, housing, railways
and bridges were built up, the economy increased.
In the past five years, the US and European economies
have been recovering,
China and Asia economies' future are dismal.
If investors bet on Europe and the US then that
would have been a better choice.
Recently, the fourth session of the 12th session (NPC)
Standing Committee was held in Beijing.
The authorities admitted four big economic bubbles in
overcapacity, real estate, government debt and finances.
Yin Zhongqing, deputy director of the Finance and
Economics Commission warned that, rather than puncturing
the bubble, we can only do everything possible to squeeze it.
In addition, "Shanghai Free Trade Zone" which is composed
of 28.78 square kilometers of an experimental plot
will be listed in advance on 29th September.
Xie Tian believes that in addition to show new leaders'
good performance, Shanghai Free Trade Zone has a
greater influence in news sensationalism than actuality.
However, the free convertible RMB and free capital flow may
set the green light for corrupt officials to transfer funds.
Xie Tian: a free convertible RMB may bring the duel system
in exchanging rates and increase rent-seeking, and
corruption within the CCP officials;
it may result in the real estate bubble bursting if the RMB
convertible happens outside the Free Trade Area.
Beijing observer Hua Po pointed out that
China's economy is very bad,
interests group is more like a cancer that has spread
all over the entire system;
even if Li Keqiang could cut loss quickly,
it would be to no avail.
相关标签： 经济危机 泡沫 李克强
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